【全非资讯·非洲】Africa: Can Africa Turn Red Sea Rivalries to Its Advantage?

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Growing competition for African ports and security partnerships offers new leverage - if countries can avoid deeper geopolitical fragmentation.

Ongoing conflict in the Middle East exposes shifting regional geopolitical fault lines that are pulling African states into an emerging macro-conflict system anchored along the Red Sea.

This stems from several overlapping crises arising from US and Israeli military offensives against Iran and renewed Houthi attacks on shipping lanes, Saudi-Emirati competition across the Horn of Africa, and disputes amongst African states over sovereignty and regional influence.

Should these crises deepen and become self-reinforcing, the implications for African states across much of the Red Sea littoral could be dire.

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The most recent US and Israeli offensive against Iran has added to these dynamics. Iran's retaliatory offensives against Gulf actors have called into question longstanding presumptions about the US' reliability in providing security for its traditional Gulf allies.

That in turn has precipitated more overt hedging strategies among regional powers, most notably the United Arab Emirates (UAE) and Saudi Arabia. Their prior security coordination to counter Iranian influence has buckled under the weight of opposing conceptions of regional order and claims to regional leadership.

Abu Dhabi projects power through expansive investments in ports and infrastructure, and through ties to non-state armed actors and secessionist movements in Yemen, Sudan, Libya and Somalia. It has also deepened engagement with Israel since normalising relations with Jerusalem under the 2020 Abraham Accords.

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来源：AllAfrica (https://allafrica.com/)
原文链接：https://allafrica.com/stories/202609180349.html
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