【非洲科技】下一波：antifragile（反脆弱）初创公司

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发布于 2026年9月13日\n\n图片来源：Startup Magazine\n\n上个月，我读了数理统计学家Nassim Nicholas Taleb的著作《反脆弱》（Antifragile），自此之后我便一直在思考这本书。这倒不一定算是一个推荐，因为Taleb有一个习惯：他会提出一个简单的观点，攻击所有不同意这一观点的人，然后花几百页篇幅来证明自己是对的。\n\n尽管如此，其核心论点依然留在我的脑海中，特别是当我想到非洲初创企业时——在这些企业的运营市场中，不确定性与其说偶尔打断日常，不如说是日常运营的一部分。\n\n按照Taleb的说法，有些事物是脆弱的，在压力下会破碎；另一些事物则具有韧性，能够在不发生太大改变的情况下承受压力（显而易见！）。还有一类事物被Taleb称为反脆弱，即那些不仅能在混乱中生存，而且在适当条件下还能因混乱而变得更强的系统。



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Published September 13, 2026

Image Source: Startup Magazine

Last month, I read Antifragile by the mathematical statistician Nassim Nicholas Taleb, and I have been thinking about it ever since, which is not necessarily a recommendation, as Taleb has a habit of taking a simple idea, attacking everyone who disagrees with it, and then spending several hundred pages proving why he is right.

Still, the central argument has stayed with me, particularly when I think about African startups, which operate in markets where uncertainty is less an occasional interruption than part of daily operation.

According to Taleb, some things are fragile and break under stress; others are resilient and absorb the stress without changing very much (obviously!). Then there are things Taleb calls antifragile, systems that do not merely survive disorder, but can, under the right conditions, become stronger because of it.

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来源：TechCabal Africa (https://techcabal.com/)
原文链接：https://techcabal.com/2026/09/13/next-wave-antfragile-startup/
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